Team India is at 4th place in the points table with 4 points from 5 matches, just ahead of New Zealand due to a slightly better Net Run Rate (NRR).
Australia, South Africa, and England have already secured their semifinal spots. The remaining one spot will be contested between India and New Zealand.
The upcoming India vs New Zealand clash on October 23 is the virtual quarterfinal. The winner of this match will have the upper hand for the last semifinal spot.
India will move to 6 points, almost confirming their semifinal berth—especially if they then beat Bangladesh in the final league game.
They can still qualify if England defeats New Zealand in their last match and India wins against Bangladesh. In that case, India’s better NRR could take them through.
Even a single loss can be compensated by big-margin wins in the remaining matches. India must aim to improve their run rate while winning to strengthen their semifinal chances.