ENG vs IND 2025: What is probability of losing toss 14 times straight?

With the toss going against India in the ongoing fourth Test, they have now endured 14 consecutive defeats in toss in international cricket.

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ENG vs IND 2025, Fourth Test: Ben Stokes (left) and Shubman Gill (right)
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ENG vs IND 2025, Fourth Test: Ben Stokes [left] and Shubman Gill [right] (Source: England Cricket)

India have now lost 14 back-to-back tosses in men's international cricket, after their most-recent instance during the fourth Test of the ongoing five-match series against England. Ben Stokes has won all four tosses against Shubman Gill so far. 

The probability of this occurring is extremely rare, 1 in 16,384 to be precise. The last time the Indian team won a toss in men's international cricket was during a 20-over clash against England in January earlier this year. Since then, they have not had the fortune of winning a single toss.

List of matches since India last won a toss

Opposition Format Captain Match Result
England T20I Suryakumar Yadav India won by 15 runs
England T20I Suryakumar Yadav India won by 150 runs
England ODI Rohit Sharma India won by 4 wickets
England ODI Rohit Sharma India won by 4 wickets
England ODI Rohit Sharma India won by 142 runs
Bangladesh ODI Rohit Sharma India won by 6 wickets
Pakistan ODI Rohit Sharma India won by 6 wickets
New Zealand ODI Rohit Sharma India won by 44 runs
Australia ODI Rohit Sharma India won by 4 wickets
New Zealand ODI Rohit Sharma India won by 4 wickets
England Test Shubman Gill England won by 5 wickets
England Test Shubman Gill India won by 336 runs
England Test Shubman Gill England won by 22 runs
England Test Shubman Gill TBD*
*as of July 23 (Day 1 of the Old Trafford Test)

India open well in must-win Manchester contest

As far as the current series is concerned, India trail by a 2-1 margin. Their sole triumph came at Edgbaston on the back of historic batting performances from Shubman Gill (269 and 161), complemented by a 10-wicket haul from Akash Deep (4/88 and 6/99).

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They have started their innings in Manchester on a positive note. The opening duo of Yashasvi Jaiswal and KL Rahul have navigated the new ball with relative ease under overcast conditions. At the time of writing, the visitors are 78/0 after 26 overs, with Jaiswal and Rahul unbeaten on 36 and 40, respectively.

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